SUI Price Prediction November 2026: $0.90, a $1.05 Gate and 13.15M Fresh Tokens — 5 Levels That Decide SUI's Month
SUI trades at $0.90 — 83% below its $5.35 peak — on the day 13.15 million fresh tokens unlock. The $1.05 gate decides whether November aims at $1.60 or slides back toward $0.86.
SUI at $0.90: the $1.05 gate, the 13.15 million token unlock, and the month that decides it
SUI trades at $0.90 on November 1, 2026 — 83% below its $5.35 all-time high from January 4, 2025 — on the very day 13.15 million fresh SUI tokens unlock. The token sits below every short-term moving average, yet two-thirds of tracked Binance accounts are positioned long. And the roadmap to recovery is unusually explicit: analysts say SUI must first flip $1.05 before $1.60, and eventually $2.00, even comes into view. This article lays out the five levels that decide SUI's November, what the unlock really means, and what most traders get wrong about the Sui story.
Sui is a high-performance layer-1 blockchain built on the Move programming language, designed so transactions that do not conflict can execute in parallel rather than in sequence. That design is where its throughput claims come from — and where the gap between headline numbers and token demand begins. Understanding that gap is the whole trade this month.
Where SUI stands right now: below every moving average
On Binance spot, SUI traded at $0.90 on November 1, up 1.09% over 24 hours, inside a tight intraday range of $0.89 to $0.91. That narrow range matters: the token is pinned just one cent above its immediate support at $0.89, with the 200-day moving average at $0.87 and the Bollinger lower band at $0.86 underneath it.
Overhead, the moving averages are stacked like a ceiling. SUI sits below the 7-day simple moving average at $0.91, the 12-period exponential moving average at $0.93, the 20-day simple moving average and the 26-period exponential moving average both at $0.97, and the 50-day simple moving average at $1.00. Each of those levels is a potential stall point on any bounce — and together they explain why a 1% daily gain feels like nothing at all.
The derivatives picture is equally flat. Binance futures open interest stands at approximately $92.5 million, up just 0.20% over 24 hours — effectively no new capital entering the derivatives market. Taker sell volume exceeded buy volume by roughly 1.4 to 1 in the most recent hourly futures data, a sign that sellers, not buyers, were the more aggressive side. Yet the Binance global account long/short ratio stood at 2.1056, with 67.8% of tracked accounts positioned long versus 32.2% short. In plain terms: most traders are betting on a bounce, but they are not yet putting fresh money behind it.
The November 1 unlock: 13.15 million SUI, and why size matters less than you think
Sui released 13.15 million SUI on November 1, 2026, under its monthly vesting schedule, valued at roughly $12.11 million. It is part of a $730.1 million unlock week across the crypto market, but Sui's own tranche is small relative to its float — and that distinction is exactly what most coverage misses.
| Unlock detail | Figure |
|---|---|
| Tokens unlocked November 1 | 13.15 million SUI |
| Value at current prices | Approximately $12.11 million |
| Share of circulating supply | 0.32% |
| Early contributors | 7.08 million SUI |
| Community reserve | 4.00 million SUI |
| Mysten Labs treasury | 2.07 million SUI |
| Circulating supply | 4.139 billion SUI |
| Total supply | 10 billion SUI (41.39% unlocked) |
| Fully diluted valuation | Approximately $8.89 billion |
| Next scheduled unlock | December 1, 2026 (Community Reserve) |
Two facts reframe the unlock story. First, most of the tranche goes to insiders: early contributors receive 7.08 million SUI, the community reserve 4 million, and the Mysten Labs treasury 2.07 million. Whether those recipients hold or sell is the real variable — the unlock itself only makes the tokens transferable. Second, Tokenomist's history shows Sui has exhibited low volatility in the seven days following past unlocks. A 0.32% supply addition, on a token already down 83% from its peak, is a slow drip, not a flood.
The structural supply picture is the longer story. Only about 4.12 to 4.14 billion of Sui's 10 billion total supply circulates today, and the vesting schedule runs into 2030, with 52.17% of the total allocated to a bucket labelled "Allocated, Released After 2030." That means supply pressure does not end in November — it is a multi-year headwind that every SUI recovery thesis must absorb. KuCoin's unlock tracker and Tokenomist's Sui vesting page both carry the schedule, and COINOTAG's breakdown confirms the recipient split.
For context on how unlocks stack up across the market this month, see our ranking of November's $1.73 billion in token unlocks, where SUI's tranche sits alongside far larger releases.
The $1.05 gate: the number every SUI holder should watch
Writing on October 26, 2026, Coinpedia analysts framed the recovery case around one explicit condition, as reported by Blockchain.News: if SUI sees a rise in demand and manages to flip $1.05, then it could aim to flip $1.60 in the coming weeks of November and probably go higher to $2.00. Neither $1.60 nor $2.00 is offered without that prior condition being met — and at $0.90, reaching $1.05 alone requires a move of approximately 16.7%.
The path there runs through a gauntlet: resistance at $0.92, the EMA 12 at $0.93, the 20-day SMA and EMA 26 at $0.97, and the 50-day SMA at $1.00 — each a potential stall point before SUI even reaches the first gate. That is why the $1.05 level matters more than any single-day percentage move: a close above it would mean SUI has cleared its entire short-term moving-average stack, something it has not done in this leg of the decline.
Compare that with the October 29 baseline: SUI traded at $0.9192 then, according to CoinGecko data cited by The Bit Journal, and most published 2026 forecasts for the token fall between about $0.56 and $4.00 — a range so wide it is
effectively an admission of uncertainty. The honest read is that SUI's November is binary around $1.05: above it, the conversation becomes $1.60; below $0.89, it becomes the $0.86 to $0.87 zone, and then the deeper question of whether
the token revisits its $0.3648 low in a worst case.
Bull, base and bear: three scenarios for SUI in November
| Scenario | Trigger | Price path | What confirms it |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bull: gate flips | Demand returns, SUI closes above $1.05 | $1.05 → $1.60 → $2.00 in the coming weeks | Clearing the $0.97–$1.00 average stack on rising volume, open interest expanding from $92.5M |
| Base: slow grind | No catalyst, unlock absorbed quietly | $0.89–$1.05 range, chopping through the averages | Low post-unlock volatility as in past months, flat open interest, taker flow balancing out |
| Bear: support fails | Break below $0.89 on heavy selling | $0.87 (200-day) → $0.86 (Bollinger lower band), deeper support below | Longs at 67.8% unwinding, sell volume staying above buy volume, broader market weakness |
These are scenarios, not predictions. The bull case is conditional by its own authors' framing — $1.60 and $2.00 only enter the conversation after $1.05 flips. The bear case has the nearer trigger: support sits just one cent below the current price. Position sizing should reflect that asymmetry, not the headline targets.
What most people get wrong about Sui
Wrong idea number one: the unlock will crash SUI. At 0.32% of circulating supply, the November 1 tranche is one of the smaller unlock events in the market this week, and Sui's own post-unlock history shows muted volatility. The unlock to fear is not this one — it is the cumulative schedule running to 2030, which steadily adds supply that demand must absorb year after year.
Wrong idea number two: 40 million transactions per second means SUI should be worth more. A CertiK-verified benchmark at Sui Basecamp on October 7, 2026, recorded 40,614,180 transactions per second. That is an engineering result, not a demand signal. Throughput is a capacity ceiling; what moves a token is sustained usage that generates fees and locks value. For Sui, the question is whether products like Hashi and the Samsung Wallet integration convert capacity into users.
Wrong idea number three: ETF filings mean institutional demand has arrived. Grayscale and 21Shares both run SUI funds now named "Sui Staking ETF," but a fund's existence is not the same as inflows, and SEC filings on SUI-related ETFs carry risk disclosure noting the SEC has previously taken the view that SUI is a security. That is disclosure text, not an enforcement action — but it is a reminder that regulatory clarity for SUI is unfinished business. Compare the contrast with XRP, where spot ETF inflows reached $1.43 billion: SUI's institutional story is still in the filing-and-naming stage, not the flows stage. Our guide to how XRP works explains the kind of payment-network demand that actually fills those funds.
Wrong idea number four: the Samsung and Hashi headlines are already priced in as adoption. On October 8, 2026, Samsung said it would bring USDC on Sui to Samsung Wallet on 82 million US Galaxy devices, and the Sui Foundation announced Hashi, a Bitcoin lending network with more than $500 million in committed capital and Anchorage Digital as a day-one partner. But as of October 29 coverage, Hashi was still described as a plan rather than a live product. Committed capital and device reach are potential, not usage — and the market, at $0.90, is pricing them as exactly that.
The fundamentals underneath: what Sui actually built
Sui's mainnet launched on May 3, 2023, and its design choices are genuinely distinct. The Move programming language adds strict rules over how digital assets are created, stored and transferred, narrowing a class of smart-contract errors that has cost other chains billions. Parallel execution lets non-conflicting transactions process simultaneously, which is the source of the throughput figures. On the application layer, the synthetic dollar suiUSDe went live on DeepBook Margin in March 2026, powered by Ethena, and Sui Agent Pass caps losses from leaked AI agent keys at user-set limits.
Leadership changed in late October: Mysten Labs named President Kevin Boon as CEO on October 23, with co-founder Evan Cheng moving to CTO to lead a new AI unit. Whether that reorganization accelerates shipping — Hashi, private payments, quantum-safe accounts are all still plans without firm dates, according to independent reviews — is a November and December question, not an October answer.
The risk ledger deserves equal weight. Independent outlets reported three mainnet halts in 48 hours in late May and June 2026, traced to an upgrade bug, including a 5-hour-55-minute outage on May 29. In April 2026, Volo Protocol, a Sui-based DeFi app, suffered a $3.5 million exploit — an application-level incident, not a base-layer breach, but a reminder that ecosystem risk is not the same as chain risk. The Defiant reported accusations of insider token sales, which the Foundation denied. None of these individually breaks the SUI thesis; together they explain why the market demands a discount.
5 checks before you buy SUI in November
- Check the $1.05 gate first: do not chase a bounce that stalls at $0.97 or $1.00 — wait for a close above the full moving-average stack before treating $1.60 as a live target.
- Check the unlock calendar: the next tranche lands December 1 for the Community Reserve, so any November position should be sized with fresh supply in mind.
- Check where you hold it: long-term holdings belong in self-custody, not on an exchange — our guide to storing crypto safely with cold storage and seed phrases and our comparison of the best hardware wallets of 2026 cover the setup.
- Check the derivatives signal: open interest stuck near $92.5 million and sell-dominated taker flow argue for patience; a real recovery should show open interest expanding, not just longs hoping.
- Check the staking alternative: if you want yield while you wait, compare SUI staking with the options in our crypto staking guide and our best coins to stake in November 2026 — a headline APY is not a real yield.
Frequently asked questions
What is SUI's price today?
SUI traded at $0.90 on Binance spot on November 1, 2026, up 1.09% over 24 hours, within a range of $0.89 to $0.91. It sits 83% below its $5.35 all-time high from January 4, 2025.
What is the $1.05 gate for SUI?
Analysts cited by Blockchain.News frame $1.05 as the level SUI must flip before $1.60, and then potentially $2.00, come into view in November. Reaching $1.05 from $0.90 requires a move of about 16.7%, through resistance at $0.92, $0.93, $0.97 and $1.00.
How many SUI unlocked on November 1?
13.15 million SUI, worth about $12.11 million, or 0.32% of circulating supply. Early contributors received 7.08 million, the community reserve 4 million, and the Mysten Labs treasury 2.07 million. The next unlock is scheduled for December 1, 2026.
Is SUI a good investment in November 2026?
That depends on the scenario you believe. The bull case needs a $1.05 flip; the base case is a $0.89–$1.05 grind while unlocks continue; the bear case opens below $0.89 toward $0.86–$0.87. With only 41.39% of the 10 billion supply unlocked, long-term holders face years of additional supply. This article is not investment advice.
What is Sui's throughput claim?
A CertiK-verified benchmark at Sui Basecamp on October 7, 2026, recorded 40,614,180 transactions per second. That is a capacity benchmark, not a measure of daily user demand, and it does not by itself create buying pressure for SUI.
What are the biggest risks for SUI holders?
Steady token unlocks into 2030, a history of mainnet halts in mid-2026, application-level exploits in its DeFi ecosystem, unresolved regulatory questions flagged in ETF filings, and competition from every other layer-1 chasing the same users. The Samsung Wallet and Hashi announcements are promising but unproven as demand drivers.
Conclusion: November is a test, not a verdict
SUI enters November at $0.90 with a clean, falsifiable setup: a $1.05 gate overhead, $0.89 support one cent below, a small unlock already absorbed, and a pipeline of real-but-unproven catalysts in Hashi and Samsung Wallet. If demand flips $1.05, the $1.60 conversation starts. If support fails, the $0.86 zone — and the deeper question of how much of the 10 billion supply the market can absorb — takes over. Either way, November will tell us more about SUI than any single headline number has. Watch the gate, watch the unlock calendar, and size the position for the scenario you can actually defend — not the target you wish were true.
Sources: Blockchain.News SUI price analysis, November 1, 2026; Tokenomist Sui vesting schedule; KuCoin token-unlock coverage; COINOTAG unlock breakdown; The Bit Journal SUI price prediction, October 29, 2026. Prices are snapshots from the cited reports, not live quotes, and all targets are conditional scenarios, not guarantees.
